Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $43,917$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(5.21 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{40,240.9}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 45.0)}}\) (asimptote \(40,240.9\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,690$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(226 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,750.8}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 56.5)}}\) (asimptote \(3,750.8\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $19,207$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $739,503$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(8.96 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,481,033.3}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 85.0)}}\) (asimptote \(1,481,033.3\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $38,406$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(1.07 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{52,037.8}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 67.2)}}\) (asimptote \(52,037.8\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $304,360$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $203,736$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(4.72 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{287,419.8}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 75.6)}}\) (asimptote \(287,419.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,738$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(189 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(16.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,299.3}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 65.5)}}\) (asimptote \(7,299.3\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $105,069$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $142,759$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(1.24 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{350,026.1}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 96.1)}}\) (asimptote \(350,026.1\))
Start date 2020-03-23 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,283$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(12.8 \times 10^{0.028t}\) (doubling rate \(10.8\) days)
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $23,115$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $14,644$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(110 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{29,583.2}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 83.8)}}\) (asimptote \(29,583.2\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $487$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(14.4 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,225.1}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 78.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,225.1\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $11,967$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $40,847$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(819 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{141,043.3}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 102.6)}}\) (asimptote \(141,043.3\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,373$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(65.3 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,274.0}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 92.8)}}\) (asimptote \(4,274.0\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $23,015$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $24,761$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(492 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.2\) days)
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $717$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(58.4 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,023.7}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 65.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,023.7\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $16,476$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $846$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(262 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(46.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{813.4}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 27.8)}}\) (asimptote \(813.4\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $23$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(6.87 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{23.0}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 25.4)}}\) (asimptote \(23.0\))
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $69$ on 2020-06-09
